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Cooper leads Whatley by 9.9 points in the North Carolina Senate polling average.

North Carolina Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 42 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?

42 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 11, 2026SurveyUSA for WRAL News | WSOC-TV643 likely votersCooper 54%, Whatley 40%
Oct 10, 2026Trafalgar Group (R)1,091 likely votersCooper 48.8%, Whatley 40.9%
Oct 7, 2026Change Research for Carolina Forward (D)829 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 40%
Oct 3, 2026East Carolina University Center for Survey Research810 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 43%
Sep 29, 2026Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project642 likely votersCooper 50.8%, Whatley 38.5%
Sep 22, 2026Quantus Insights686 likely votersCooper 48.4%, Whatley 43.3%
Sep 20, 2026Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP1,115 likely votersCooper 53%, Whatley 42%
Sep 20, 2026Opinion Diagnostics for Common Cause North Carolina857 likely votersCooper 51.7%, Whatley 43.5%
Sep 18, 2026YouGov3,511 likely votersCooper 54%, Whatley 41%
Sep 17, 2026InsiderAdvantage1,200 likely votersCooper 48.4%, Whatley 42.5%
Sep 16, 2026High Point University706 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 42%
Sep 15, 2026YouGov for Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service885 likely votersCooper 48%, Whatley 37%
Sep 15, 2026Harper Polling for Carolina Journal608 likely votersCooper 49.2%, Whatley 34.1%
Sep 10, 2026Trafalgar Group (R)1,084 likely votersCooper 48.2%, Whatley 42.3%
Sep 3, 2026East Carolina University Center for Survey Research675 likely votersCooper 51.7%, Whatley 43.6%
Aug 31, 2026YouGov for Elon University565 likely votersCooper 49%, Whatley 38%
Aug 12, 2026High Point University660 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 45%
Aug 10, 2026Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 51.5%, Whatley 39%
Aug 6, 2026Change Research for Carolina Forward (D)915 likely votersCooper 50.1%, Whatley 42.9%
Aug 1, 2026Change Research for Gary Pearce | Sam Hunt (D)967 registered votersCooper 50%, Whatley 41%
Jul 31, 2026YouGov for Elon University466 likely votersCooper 53%, Whatley 42%
Jul 27, 2026Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News1,005 registered votersCooper 53%, Whatley 44%
Jul 11, 2026Public Policy Polling759 registered votersCooper 48%, Whatley 44%
Jun 27, 2026The New York Times/Siena University601 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 43.2%
Jun 10, 2026YouGov for Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service905 likely votersCooper 47.7%, Whatley 34%
May 11, 2026Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 49.8%, Whatley 38.7%
May 8, 2026Change Research for Carolina Forward (D)957 likely votersCooper 49.3%, Whatley 42.4%
Apr 24, 2026Opinion Diagnostics830 registered votersCooper 50.4%, Whatley 41.4%
Apr 6, 2026High Point University703 likely votersCooper 50%, Whatley 42%
Apr 1, 2026Quantus Insights987 likely votersCooper 48.6%, Whatley 43.8%
Mar 23, 2026Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 48.9%, Whatley 41.1%
Mar 18, 2026YouGov for Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service872 likely votersCooper 48%, Whatley 34%
Mar 14, 2026Public Policy Polling556 registered votersCooper 47%, Whatley 44%
Feb 4, 2026Change Research for Gary Pearce | Sam Hunt (D)1,069 registered votersCooper 50%, Whatley 40%
Jan 15, 2026TIPP Insights for League of American Workers (R)1,512 registered votersCooper 48.4%, Whatley 24.2%
Jan 7, 2026Change Research for Carolina Forward (D)1,105 likely votersCooper 47%, Whatley 42%
Nov 10, 2025Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 47.3%, Whatley 38.6%
Sep 15, 2025Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 46.1%, Whatley 41.9%
Sep 8, 2025Change Research for Carolina Forward (D)855 likely votersCooper 48%, Whatley 41%
Aug 12, 2025Harper Polling for Carolina Journal600 likely votersCooper 47.3%, Whatley 39.1%
Jul 30, 2025Emerson College1,000 registered votersCooper 46.7%, Whatley 41.4%
Jul 30, 2025Victory Insights600 likely votersCooper 44.4%, Whatley 43.5%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.