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Cotton leads Shoffner by 8.5 points in the Arkansas Senate polling average.

Arkansas Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 6 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Arkansas U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?

6 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 13, 2026Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics709 likely votersShoffner 41%, Cotton 50%
Oct 4, 2026GrayHouse for America One Policies (R)550 likely votersShoffner 39%, Cotton 50%
Aug 18, 2026J.L. Partners803 likely votersShoffner 35%, Cotton 51%
Aug 12, 2026Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics1,217 likely votersShoffner 47.4%, Cotton 44%
Jul 25, 20262040 Strategy Group (D)586 likely votersShoffner 43%, Cotton 46%
Feb 9, 2026GrayHouse for America One Policies (R)550 likely votersShoffner 36%, Cotton 58%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.