Minnesota Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 15 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 15, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
If the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Poll ended | Pollster | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Trafalgar Group (R) | 1,079 likely voters | Flanagan 48.1%, Tafoya 44.6% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV Minneapolis | 718 likely voters | Flanagan 45%, Tafoya 42% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Morning Consult for The Daily Agenda | 1,000 registered voters | Flanagan 45%, Tafoya 41% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for KARE 11 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | 800 likely voters | Flanagan 47%, Tafoya 43% |
| Oct 4, 2026 | GQR for Senate Majority PAC (D) | 800 likely voters | Flanagan 50%, Tafoya 42% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project | 622 likely voters | Flanagan 45.8%, Tafoya 43.6% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 likely voters | Flanagan 46%, Tafoya 45% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | co/efficient | 833 likely voters | Flanagan 43%, Tafoya 42% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV Minneapolis | 654 likely voters | Flanagan 42%, Tafoya 42% |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Quantus Insights | 720 likely voters | Flanagan 48.9%, Tafoya 45.4% |
| Sep 2, 2026 | TIPP Insights for League of American Workers (R) | 1,192 likely voters | Flanagan 44%, Tafoya 41.9% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV Minneapolis | 661 likely voters | Flanagan 46%, Tafoya 41% |
| May 28, 2026 | Impact Research (D) | 808 likely voters | Flanagan 51%, Tafoya 44% |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Emerson College | 1,000 likely voters | Flanagan 47.1%, Tafoya 40.6% |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Impact Research (D) | 604 likely voters | Flanagan 48%, Tafoya 45% |
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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.