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Markey leads Deaton by 25.6 points in the Massachusetts Senate polling average.

Massachusetts Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 12 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Massachusetts U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?

12 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 12, 2026YouGov for UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV800 registered votersMarkey 56%, Deaton 29%
Sep 22, 2026MassINC Polling Group for Commonwealth Beacon800 likely votersMarkey 54%, Deaton 28%
Sep 21, 2026University of New Hampshire556 likely votersMarkey 53%, Deaton 30%
Aug 24, 2026University of New Hampshire for 7News906 likely votersMarkey 49%, Deaton 30%
Aug 12, 2026YouGov for UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV800 registered votersMarkey 51%, Deaton 30%
Jun 23, 2026University of New Hampshire618 likely votersMarkey 50%, Deaton 34%
Jun 12, 2026Suffolk University for Boston Globe500 registered votersMarkey 55%, Deaton 29.8%
Apr 20, 2026University of New Hampshire603 likely votersMarkey 55%, Deaton 32%
Feb 16, 2026University of New Hampshire616 likely votersMarkey 56%, Deaton 27%
Jan 25, 2026Cygnal Political (R)800 likely votersMarkey 54%, Deaton 30%
Nov 23, 2025Suffolk University for Boston Globe500 registered votersMarkey 54%, Deaton 31%
Mar 4, 2025SurveyUSA for MA Responsible Alliance775 registered votersMarkey 45%, Deaton 26%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.