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Hamilton leads Marshall by 0.9 points in the Kansas Senate polling average.

Kansas Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 14 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 14, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?

14 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 14, 2026InsiderAdvantage1,200 likely votersHamilton 47%, Marshall 48%
Oct 10, 2026InsiderAdvantage1,200 likely votersHamilton 47.5%, Marshall 46.7%
Oct 4, 2026YouGov2,253 likely votersHamilton 48%, Marshall 45%
Oct 4, 2026GBAO (D)600 likely votersHamilton 46%, Marshall 41%
Oct 1, 2026Trafalgar Group (R)1,095 likely votersHamilton 44.4%, Marshall 43.5%
Sep 30, 2026The New York Times/Siena University605 likely votersHamilton 44.9%, Marshall 44.8%
Sep 24, 2026Wedgewood Polls500 likely votersHamilton 50%, Marshall 48%
Sep 16, 2026Global Strategy Group for Democratic Attorneys General Association (D)800 likely votersHamilton 47%, Marshall 43%
Sep 16, 2026Emerson College for Nexstar750 likely votersHamilton 44.8%, Marshall 43.3%
Sep 10, 2026co/efficient915 likely votersHamilton 44%, Marshall 49%
Aug 16, 2026Global Strategy Group for People Over Politics Action Fund (D)800 likely votersHamilton 44%, Marshall 43%
Aug 8, 2026Public Policy Polling for Senate Majority PAC (D) registered votersHamilton 45%, Marshall 46%
Jul 13, 2026GBAO (D)600 likely votersHamilton 43%, Marshall 47%
Jan 28, 2026Tavern Research1,013 likely votersHamilton 51%, Marshall 49%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.