Florida Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 17 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 15, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
If the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Poll ended | Pollster | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | ActiVote | 400 likely voters | Nixon 46.9%, Moody 53.1% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MDW Communications for EDGE Communications | 2,351 likely voters | Nixon 42.4%, Moody 47.6% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 716 likely voters | Nixon 41%, Moody 52% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 836 likely voters | Nixon 44.9%, Moody 46.8% |
| Oct 5, 2026 | YouGov | 3,812 likely voters | Nixon 44%, Moody 49% |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute | 847 likely voters | Nixon 42%, Moody 52% |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for NBC 6 Miami | Telemundo | 625 likely voters | Nixon 40%, Moody 50% |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 1,063 likely voters | Nixon 47%, Moody 48% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 830 likely voters | Nixon 40%, Moody 51% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | InsiderAdvantage | 600 likely voters | Nixon 41.8%, Moody 49.3% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 913 likely voters | Nixon 44.8%, Moody 45.2% |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Quantus Insights | 733 likely voters | Nixon 43%, Moody 50.4% |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 1,107 likely voters | Nixon 47%, Moody 47% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | University of North Florida | 848 likely voters | Nixon 41.6%, Moody 50% |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 414 likely voters | Nixon 38%, Moody 51% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Emerson College | 1,125 likely voters | Nixon 36.3%, Moody 47.3% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | University of North Florida | 768 likely voters | Nixon 38%, Moody 46% |
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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.