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Alme leads Bodnar by 10.3 points in the Montana Senate polling average.

Montana Senate 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 13 published polls from Jun 11, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Montana U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for?

13 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 12, 2026Peak Insights (R)500 likely votersBodnar 29%, Alme 44%
Oct 8, 2026Concord Public Opinion Partners405 likely votersBodnar 37%, Alme 35%
Sep 24, 2026American Pulse Research & Polling for NonStop Local604 likely votersBodnar 26.1%, Alme 45.1%
Sep 15, 2026Aspect Strategic for Montana Freedom PAC715 likely votersBodnar 32%, Alme 44%
Sep 15, 2026Quantus Insights625 likely votersBodnar 26.1%, Alme 45.3%
Sep 7, 2026Rutgers-Eagleton for Montana Free Press845 registered votersBodnar 30%, Alme 38%
Aug 25, 2026Peak Insights (R)600 likely votersBodnar 22%, Alme 44%
Aug 4, 2026Hart Research Associates for Forward Montana800 likely votersBodnar 30%, Alme 45%
Jul 26, 2026GQR for Contours Inc.500 likely votersBodnar 27%, Alme 41%
Jul 16, 2026The Bullfinch Group for Independent Center | Independent Leadership Council793 likely votersBodnar 24%, Alme 36%
Jun 24, 2026Hart Research Associates for The Majority Institute (D)800 likely votersBodnar 25%, Alme 47%
Jun 24, 2026GrayHouse500 likely votersBodnar 17%, Alme 41%
Jun 11, 2026Public Opinion Strategies for The Political Company (R)500 likely votersBodnar 20%, Alme 44%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.