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Abbott leads Hinojosa by 3.0 points in the Texas governor polling average.

Texas Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 46 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Texas governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?

46 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 16, 2026YouGov for CBS News1,460 likely votersHinojosa 48%, Abbott 52%
Oct 14, 2026University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs2,000 likely votersHinojosa 46%, Abbott 49%
Oct 14, 2026ActiVote400 likely votersHinojosa 49.1%, Abbott 50.9%
Oct 11, 2026Marist University1,196 likely votersHinojosa 45%, Abbott 49%
Oct 8, 2026GBAO (D)800 likely votersHinojosa 47%, Abbott 45%
Oct 8, 2026ReconMR/Siena Research Institute617 likely votersHinojosa 47%, Abbott 48%
Oct 5, 2026YouGov for University of Texas861 likely votersHinojosa 49%, Abbott 48%
Sep 30, 2026The New York Times/Siena University615 likely votersHinojosa 49%, Abbott 45.5%
Sep 28, 2026Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News881 likely votersHinojosa 47%, Abbott 52%
Sep 28, 2026University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov850 likely votersHinojosa 44%, Abbott 48%
Sep 28, 2026Guidant Polling and Strategy for Public First Action800 likely votersHinojosa 44%, Abbott 46%
Sep 26, 2026Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project698 likely votersHinojosa 44.4%, Abbott 48.9%
Sep 24, 2026Stratus Intelligence for Texans for a Conservative Majority (R)865 likely votersHinojosa 45%, Abbott 50%
Sep 22, 2026Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research1,007 likely votersHinojosa 46%, Abbott 50%
Sep 20, 2026Marist University1,139 registered votersHinojosa 49%, Abbott 46%
Sep 19, 2026Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center1,800 likely votersHinojosa 45%, Abbott 49%
Sep 14, 2026Emerson College for Nexstar1,000 likely votersHinojosa 45.5%, Abbott 48.7%
Sep 13, 2026SoCal Strategies649 likely votersHinojosa 44%, Abbott 52%
Sep 11, 2026ReconMR/Siena Research Institute614 likely votersHinojosa 49%, Abbott 45%
Sep 10, 2026Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for Telemundo625 likely votersHinojosa 41%, Abbott 48%
Sep 4, 2026YouGov for Univision1,000 registered votersHinojosa 47%, Abbott 47%
Sep 1, 2026Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP895 likely votersHinojosa 46%, Abbott 49%
Aug 26, 2026Overton Insights for Texas Public Policy Foundation1,167 likely votersHinojosa 48.8%, Abbott 51.2%
Aug 24, 2026Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research1,000 likely votersHinojosa 42%, Abbott 49%
Aug 13, 2026YouGov for University of Texas1,200 registered votersHinojosa 40%, Abbott 45%
Aug 10, 2026Emerson College for Nexstar1,000 likely votersHinojosa 45%, Abbott 48.5%
Aug 9, 2026GBAO (D)1,000 likely votersHinojosa 48%, Abbott 49%
Jul 31, 2026Wedgewood Polls800 likely votersHinojosa 44%, Abbott 50%
Jul 30, 2026Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center1,200 likely votersHinojosa 43%, Abbott 49%
Jul 30, 2026ReconMR/Siena Research Institute for Texas A&M Bush School619 likely votersHinojosa 45%, Abbott 46%
Jul 27, 2026Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research for Fox News1,006 registered votersHinojosa 49%, Abbott 50%
Jul 17, 2026Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research1,048 likely votersHinojosa 42%, Abbott 45%
Jun 27, 2026The New York Times/Siena University656 likely votersHinojosa 44.2%, Abbott 50.6%
Jun 21, 2026SoCal Strategies for Red Eagle Politics (R)800 likely votersHinojosa 42.2%, Abbott 53.9%
Jun 12, 2026YouGov for University of Texas1,200 registered votersHinojosa 40%, Abbott 47%
Jun 4, 2026ReconMR/Siena Research Institute for Texas A&M Bush School807 likely votersHinojosa 43%, Abbott 49%
Jun 4, 2026Quantus Insights800 likely votersHinojosa 41%, Abbott 49%
May 28, 2026Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research1,670 likely votersHinojosa 41%, Abbott 46%
May 23, 2026Public Policy Polling for Lone Star Rising PAC (D)643 registered votersHinojosa 44%, Abbott 48%
May 6, 2026Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center1,223 likely votersHinojosa 43%, Abbott 49%
Apr 20, 2026YouGov for University of Texas1,200 registered votersHinojosa 38%, Abbott 44%
Apr 20, 2026Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research1,018 likely votersHinojosa 43%, Abbott 48%
Feb 22, 2026University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research1,117 registered votersHinojosa 41%, Abbott 49%
Feb 3, 2026GBAO (D)1,000 likely votersHinojosa 43%, Abbott 46%
Jan 31, 2026University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs1,502 likely votersHinojosa 42%, Abbott 49%
Jan 12, 2026Emerson College for Nexstar1,165 registered votersHinojosa 42.3%, Abbott 50.2%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.