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Shapiro leads Garrity by 22.6 points in the Pennsylvania governor polling average.

Pennsylvania Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 20 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?

20 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 11, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive628 registered votersShapiro 57.7%, Garrity 27.6%
Oct 5, 2026Quinnipiac University1,159 likely votersShapiro 59%, Garrity 34%
Oct 1, 2026Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising (D)630 likely votersShapiro 53%, Garrity 34%
Sep 30, 2026Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.700 likely votersShapiro 52%, Garrity 31%
Sep 22, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive624 registered votersShapiro 55.1%, Garrity 27.7%
Sep 22, 2026The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer615 likely votersShapiro 58.4%, Garrity 37.7%
Aug 23, 2026Franklin & Marshall College501 registered votersShapiro 50%, Garrity 25%
Aug 22, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive711 likely votersShapiro 56.4%, Garrity 25.2%
Aug 21, 2026The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer760 likely votersShapiro 54.8%, Garrity 38.7%
Jul 24, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive630 likely votersShapiro 53.4%, Garrity 28.1%
Jul 13, 2026Quinnipiac University895 registered votersShapiro 53%, Garrity 40%
Jun 25, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive644 likely votersShapiro 53.7%, Garrity 29.3%
Jun 14, 2026Franklin & Marshall College546 registered votersShapiro 50%, Garrity 28%
Jun 11, 2026MAD Global Strategy for Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future600 likely votersShapiro 48%, Garrity 31%
May 24, 2026Bravo Group for PennLive684 likely votersShapiro 53.4%, Garrity 28.8%
Mar 29, 2026Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.700 likely votersShapiro 58%, Garrity 36%
Mar 1, 2026Franklin & Marshall College834 registered votersShapiro 48%, Garrity 28%
Feb 23, 2026Quinnipiac University836 registered votersShapiro 55%, Garrity 37%
Sep 29, 2025Quinnipiac University1,579 registered votersShapiro 55%, Garrity 39%
Sep 28, 2025Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.700 likely votersShapiro 54%, Garrity 36%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.