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Blackburn leads Green by 17.7 points in the Tennessee governor polling average.

Tennessee Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 4 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Sep 12, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 Tennessee governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?

4 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Sep 12, 2026TargetSmart for The Progress Fund PAC (D)600 likely votersGreen 36%, Blackburn 45%
Aug 26, 2026Targoz Market Research for Beacon Center601 likely votersGreen 34%, Blackburn 55%
Apr 27, 2026Targoz Market Research for Beacon Center1,157 registered votersGreen 27%, Blackburn 51%
Aug 7, 2025Quantus Insights600 registered votersGreen 28%, Blackburn 49%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.