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Becerra leads Hilton by 21.2 points in the California governor polling average.

California Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 12 published polls from May 24, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.

The question pollsters ask

If the 2026 California governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?

12 published polls in the average

Poll endedPollsterSampleResult
Oct 16, 2026ActiVote400 likely votersBecerra 62.8%, Hilton 37.2%
Oct 1, 2026Manhattan Institute1,000 likely votersBecerra 57%, Hilton 39%
Sep 28, 2026IVC Media for Independent Voter Project2,906 likely votersBecerra 48%, Hilton 38%
Sep 20, 2026University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for Los Angeles Times4,512 likely votersBecerra 58%, Hilton 33%
Sep 20, 2026SurveyUSA for ABC 10 News | KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune742 likely votersBecerra 55%, Hilton 33%
Sep 14, 2026TrueDot for Politico | UC Berkeley Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research1,983 likely votersBecerra 54%, Hilton 36%
Sep 10, 2026Public Policy Institute of California1,098 likely votersBecerra 60%, Hilton 38%
Aug 9, 2026University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for Los Angeles Times2,310 likely votersBecerra 55%, Hilton 37%
Jul 6, 2026Public Policy Institute of California1,003 likely votersBecerra 61%, Hilton 36%
Jun 17, 2026Kreate Strategies900 registered votersBecerra 58%, Hilton 33%
May 26, 2026University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona735 likely votersBecerra 58%, Hilton 35%
May 24, 2026University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for Los Angeles Times8,578 registered votersBecerra 52%, Hilton 31%

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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.