Arizona Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 23 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
If the 2026 Arizona governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Poll ended | Pollster | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | GrayHouse for Friends of Elijah Norton (R) | 550 likely voters | Hobbs 50%, Biggs 44% |
| Oct 8, 2026 | HighGround | 400 likely voters | Hobbs 50.5%, Biggs 33.7% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wick | 1,513 likely voters | Hobbs 48.9%, Biggs 43.2% |
| Oct 4, 2026 | BSP Research for Arizona State University Center for Latina/os and American Politics Research | 1,300 registered voters | Hobbs 47%, Biggs 34% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | NextGenP | 1,378 registered voters | Hobbs 39%, Biggs 37.5% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | HighGround | 400 likely voters | Hobbs 49.5%, Biggs 34.3% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Quantus Insights | 780 likely voters | Hobbs 49.1%, Biggs 43.2% |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kreate Strategies for American Encore (R) | 900 likely voters | Hobbs 45%, Biggs 40% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | 923 likely voters | Hobbs 48.4%, Biggs 35.4% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Stealth Analytics | 530 likely voters | Hobbs 43%, Biggs 38% |
| Aug 11, 2026 | GrayHouse (R) | 600 likely voters | Hobbs 49%, Biggs 45% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Tarrance Group for Democracy Defense Project | 600 likely voters | Hobbs 52%, Biggs 48% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP | 913 likely voters | Hobbs 52%, Biggs 44% |
| May 7, 2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | 996 registered voters | Hobbs 41%, Biggs 37% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | TIPP Insights for League of American Workers (R) | 1,159 likely voters | Hobbs 48.4%, Biggs 37.6% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,023 registered voters | Hobbs 42%, Biggs 37% |
| Dec 17, 2025 | NextGenP | 2,725 registered voters | Hobbs 51%, Biggs 32% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Emerson College | 850 registered voters | Hobbs 44.1%, Biggs 43.4% |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Noble Predictive Insights | 948 registered voters | Hobbs 39%, Biggs 37% |
| May 16, 2025 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,026 registered voters | Hobbs 40%, Biggs 38% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Pulse Decision Science for Club for Growth (R) | 501 likely voters | Hobbs 46%, Biggs 42% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,006 registered voters | Hobbs 40%, Biggs 38% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Kreate Strategies for American Encore (R) | 924 likely voters | Hobbs 43%, Biggs 44% |
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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.