Florida Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 31 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 15, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
If the 2026 Florida governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Poll ended | Pollster | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | YouGov for Univision | 825 registered voters | Jolly 42%, Donalds 50% |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | 1,200 likely voters | Jolly 43%, Donalds 49% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MDW Communications for EDGE Communications | 2,351 likely voters | Jolly 43.8%, Donalds 45.9% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 920 likely voters | Jolly 47%, Donalds 47% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 716 likely voters | Jolly 41%, Donalds 52% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 836 likely voters | Jolly 44.6%, Donalds 44.7% |
| Oct 5, 2026 | YouGov | 3,813 likely voters | Jolly 45%, Donalds 47% |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute | 849 likely voters | Jolly 42%, Donalds 52% |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for NBC 6 Miami | Telemundo | 625 registered voters | Jolly 41%, Donalds 48% |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 1,063 likely voters | Jolly 48%, Donalds 46% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 830 likely voters | Jolly 39%, Donalds 51% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 913 likely voters | Jolly 43.4%, Donalds 43.5% |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 1,107 likely voters | Jolly 47%, Donalds 44% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hart Research Associates for Democratic Governors Association (D) | 600 likely voters | Jolly 46%, Donalds 45% |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute | 1,026 likely voters | Jolly 38%, Donalds 45% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | University of North Florida | 848 likely voters | Jolly 41.4%, Donalds 46.1% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kaplan Strategies | 668 likely voters | Jolly 29.8%, Donalds 34.9% |
| May 16, 2026 | Change Research for Freedom Project USA | 1,593 likely voters | Jolly 46%, Donalds 42% |
| May 9, 2026 | Cherry Communications for Florida Chamber of Commerce (R) | 604 likely voters | Jolly 39%, Donalds 47% |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 848 likely voters | Jolly 40%, Donalds 47% |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Echelon Insights for NetChoice | 406 likely voters | Jolly 43%, Donalds 49% |
| Apr 3, 2026 | MDW Communications for EDGE Communications | 1,834 likely voters | Jolly 40.5%, Donalds 41.2% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Emerson College | 1,125 likely voters | Jolly 39.4%, Donalds 44.2% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | University of North Florida | 776 likely voters | Jolly 36%, Donalds 42% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 124 likely voters | Jolly 42.3%, Donalds 35.8% |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute | likely voters | Jolly 36%, Donalds 41% |
| Oct 25, 2025 | University of North Florida for Florida Watch (D) | 728 likely voters | Jolly 34%, Donalds 45% |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Targoz Market Research for James Madison Institute | 1,118 registered voters | Jolly 32%, Donalds 36% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bendixen & Amandi International (D) | 631 likely voters | Jolly 41%, Donalds 40% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | McLaughlin & Associates for Associated Industries of Florida | 800 likely voters | Jolly 41%, Donalds 49% |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Victory Insights | 600 likely voters | Jolly 31.4%, Donalds 36.7% |
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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.