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New Hampshire Governor 2026 polling average as of Oct 19, 2026, based on 11 published polls from Apr 22, 2026 to Oct 5, 2026. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
If the 2026 New Hampshire governor's election were held today, who would you vote for?
| Poll ended | Pollster | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | YouGov | 1,520 likely voters | Warmington 40%, Ayotte 49% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | St. Anselm for AARP | 1,042 likely voters | Warmington 45%, Ayotte 52% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 613 likely voters | Warmington 40.8%, Ayotte 52.3% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | University of New Hampshire | 1,407 likely voters | Warmington 43%, Ayotte 47% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | co/efficient | 958 likely voters | Warmington 34%, Ayotte 55% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | University of New Hampshire for 7News | 1,878 likely voters | Warmington 39%, Ayotte 49% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | St. Anselm | 1,411 likely voters | Warmington 38%, Ayotte 49% |
| Jun 25, 2026 | St. Anselm | 1,614 registered voters | Warmington 37%, Ayotte 45% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | University of New Hampshire | 2,221 likely voters | Warmington 39%, Ayotte 44% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | University of New Hampshire | 1,117 likely voters | Warmington 39%, Ayotte 47% |
| Mar 18, 2026 | St. Anselm | 1,491 registered voters | Warmington 39%, Ayotte 46% |
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Polls compiled by The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0. Averages calculated by People’s Poll (Methods). Updated Oct 19, 2026. Published by Onward Media LLC.